Chad Ford and John Hollinger have posted a new, ESPN Insider’s Future Power Rankings of NBA teams. The list analyzes the expected on-court success for each team for 2010-11, 2011-12 and 2012-13. Each NBA team received a Power Rating of 0 to 1,000 based on the following criteria.
PLAYERS (0 to 400 points): Current players potential for the future, factoring expected departures.
MANAGEMENT (0 to 200 points): Quality and stability of front office, ownership, coaching.
MONEY (0 to 200 points): Projected cap situation; ability and willingness to exceed cap and pay luxury tax.
MARKET (0 to 100 points): Recruit-ability based on team quality, franchise reputation, city’s desirability as a destination, market size, taxes, business and entertainment opportunities, arena quality, fans
DRAFT (0 to 100 points): Future draft picks; draft positioning
1. Oklahoma City Thunder | Future Power Rating: 692
PLAYERS MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET DRAFT
310 (4th) 161 (3rd) 123 (8th) 37 (21th) 60 (12th)
(Previous rank: 3)
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2. Los Angeles Lakers | Future Power Rating: 686
PLAYERS MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET DRAFT
342 (2nd) 149 (5th) 91 (15th) 96 (1st) 8 (29th)
(Previous rank: 2)
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3. Orlando Magic | Future Power Rating: 674
PLAYERS MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET DRAFT
354 (1st) 143 (8th) 78 (27th) 76 (3rd) 23 (25th)
(Previous rank: 1)
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4. Miami Heat | Future Power Rating: 653
PLAYERS MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET DRAFT
238 (9th) 112 (12th) 155 (2nd) 89 (2nd) 59 (13th)
The Heat held on to the No. 4 position, but the one thing that might worry them is how much competition they’ll have for free agents this summer because of what happened at the trade deadline. Miami was hoping to have more salary-cap room than any other team, but New York blew up that plan by trading Jared Jeffries to Houston. Additionally, Chicago’s creation of enough cap space to lure away Dwyane Wade presents a significant risk to the Heat’s future plans.
Nonetheless, the positives far outweigh the negatives right now. Most signs point to the Heat keeping Wade in South Beach and luring another star to join him, especially given the appeal of the Miami market (No. 2 behind L.A. on our list). Though owner Micky Arison hasn’t been willing to outspend other teams, the Heat are a well-run franchise from president Pat Riley on down, and they’ve made creative use of their salary cap options in the past.
Hence the high ranking. We’d be very surprised if they can’t unite Wade with another star to form an Eastern Conference force for the next three seasons.
(Previous rank: 4)
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5. Portland Trail Blazers | Future Power Rating: 620
PLAYERS MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET DRAFT
284 (5th) 153 (4th) 88 (17th) 54 (13th) 41 (18th)
(Previous rank: 6)
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6. Utah Jazz | Future Power Rating: 585
PLAYERS MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET DRAFT
250 (8th) 144 (6th) 80 (26th) 42 (20th) 69 (10th)
(Previous rank: 5)
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7. Denver Nuggets | Future Power Rating: 577
PLAYERS MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET DRAFT
278 (6th) 141 (9th) 81 (25th) 55 (12th) 22 (26th)
(Previous rank: 9)
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8. Cleveland Cavaliers | Future Power Rating: 574
PLAYERS MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET DRAFT
320 (3rd) 104 (15th) 84 (21st) 53 (14th) 13 (28th)
(Previous rank: 8)
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9. Chicago Bulls | Future Power Rating: 573
PLAYERS MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET DRAFT
220 (10th) 85 (17th) 153 (3rd) 66 (7th) 49 (17th)
(Previous rank: 11)
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10. Houston Rockets | Future Power Rating: 567
PLAYERS MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET DRAFT
176 (19th) 168 (2nd) 87 (18th) 62 (10th) 74 (5th)
(Previous rank: 13)
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11. Dallas Mavericks | Future Power Rating: 533
PLAYERS MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET DRAFT
210 (14th) 144 (7th) 92 (13th) 70 (5th) 17 (27th)
(Previous rank: 18)
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12. San Antonio Spurs | Future Power Rating: 532
PLAYERS MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET DRAFT
154 (22nd) 179 (1st) 96 (11th) 64 (9th) 39 (20th)
(Previous rank: 7)
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13. Atlanta Hawks | Future Power Rating: 516
PLAYERS MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET DRAFT
258 (7th) 76 (20th) 92 (14th) 51 (16th) 39 (21st)
(Previous rank: 14)
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14. Los Angeles Clippers | Future Power Rating: 506
PLAYERS MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET DRAFT
200 (15th) 52 (25th) 137 (5th) 59 (11th) 58 (15th)
(Previous rank: 10)
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15. Boston Celtics | Future Power Rating: 494
PLAYERS MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET DRAFT
170 (21st) 141 (10th) 93 (12th) 65 (8th) 25 (24th)
(Previous rank: 12)
New York and New Jersey are ranked 16th and 18th respectively on the list (thank you to "LeBron and his mission" on Ira's board for posting this insider article). It is really nice to see the Miami Heat in the top 4, because it is a sign that "wasting" two years of Wade's prime might have been the smart thing to do.
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