Tuesday, May 18, 2010

How the Lottery Affect Miami's Plans

Lowest Committed 2010-11 Payrolls
TeamPayroll
New York Knicks$18.64 m
New Jersey Nets$26.63 m
Miami Heat$30.67 m
Chicago Bulls$31.85 m
Los Angeles Clippers$33.53 m
Sacramento Kings$34.0 m
Minnesota Timberwolves$35.17 m
Washington Wizards$41.02 m
Source: ESPN.com

Well, the NBA Draft lottery has come and gone and the top three picks belong to the Washington Wizards, Philadelphia 76ers and New Jersey Nets.

All three should come away with really good players, but the big prize was John Wall and the Wizards have just won the right to draft him. They seemed very excited to win the lottery, but did not tip their hand. Also, John Wall did not seem thrilled by the result of the lottery - refusing to acknowledge questions about how he fit in with Washington, instead offering a general response about helping out his team.

Washington, however, will be an exciting team with this starting lineup:
C - McGee
PF - Blatche
SF - Howard
SG - Arenas
PG - Wall

The fallout from the Wizards will likely be a move for Gil to his more natural SG spot. He is undersized, but he will score more than the opposing SG more often than not anyway. PG Shaun Livingston and combo guard Randy Foye are more likely to leave as free agents in search of better opportunities for minutes and career revivals. Miami will likely address the point guard position last, so they may be picking up pieces from the scrapheap like they have been ever since they showed Jason Williams the door.

Philadelphia will have plenty of talent to chose from even if they don't view Evan Turner as the answer. Speaking of "The Answer", he has become an afterthought due to his bad behavior and poor performance on the court. He has likely played his last NBA game for similar reasons as Rafer Alston, but he does figure to be an intriguing option for minimum money once Miami stocks up the front end of their roster. He seems a lock for the All-Star game as long as he plays in the NBA, but will his play be worth the headache?

New Jersey's slide into the third spot is the best news for Miami fans out of this lottery drawing, because it has taken some wind out of the sails of a franchise that has cleared the second most cap room, behind the New York Knicks (until Wade opts out, which would place Miami as the team with the most cap room). They are projected to draft PF Derrick Favors or SF Wesley Johnson. The odds favor Favors, but Johnson because can play SG or SF which gives them more flexibility in free agency. However, the delayed move to Brooklyn, coupled with not getting the #1 pick and people's natural desire not to work for a scary Russian boss should keep top tier free agents away. Their most realistic targets strategy will be overpaying second tier free agents and RFA's like Rudy Gay and Tyrus Thomas who need someone to be willing to wait a week to find out if their contract will be matched.

Overall, it was a positive thing that New Jersey did not win the lottery even though they still are in position to add an elite rookie + two top free agents to their roster. Had they won the lottery, Jay-Z and company would have had a far stronger pitch to the elite free agents. The day ends just as it started, with Miami at the front of the free agent line.

And the #1 pick goes to...

Here is a look at the possible outcomes in the draft lottery. I am curious to see what happens, but ultimately I do not think it will have much of an impact on the Heat's off-season plans:

New Jersey (25%) - they would immediately step up their efforts to trade Keyon Dooling (1 year, $4M). Most expect they will dump Devin Harris, but I envision they would play Devin and John Wall together for long stretches considering they are both 6'3"/6'4". Their current starter at SG, Courtney Lee, would round out a solid guard rotation.

Minnesota (19.9%) - they would have to consider a trade of a prized lottery pick or drafting the other guy, Evan Turner. I don't know enough to make that decision, but I would assume that they would draft Wall anyway. Ricky Rubio would be closer to playing in the NBA for someone other than the T-Wolves.

Sacramento (15.6%) - they would draft John Wall and move the 6'6" rookie of the year Tyreke Evans to SG. This would be a potentially dynastic backcourt.

Golden State (10.4%) - they could legitimately leverage this pick to the highest bidder since they already have a very talented duo in the backcourt with Stephen Curry at the point and Monta Ellis at SG... not to mention the depth that sharpshooter Anthony Morrow brings to the table. They could draft either of the top two guys and put Monta Ellis back on the trading block, but there is no rush because Nellie loves small ball.

Washington (10.3%) - the Wizards would have a dynamic backcourt with either Wall or Turner in the fold. The tiebreaker always seems to go with the younger Wall, because he is the type of PG that every team would love to have, and at 6'4" is big enough to play in a backcourt with another combo guard like Gilbert Arenas (6'3"), who would eventually be traded. Drafting Turner would be the type of commitment to Gilbert Arenas that I think the Wizards would not be willing to make.

Philadelphia (5.3%) - finally a team that may have to leverage the pick or possibly trade a valuable youngster. The Sixers already have two young point guards with promise in Lou Williams and Jrue Holiday. If they drafted Wall, he would have to move to SG and force Igoudala to play SF. Actually, that isn't half bad.

Detroit (5.2%) - A top 2 pick for Detroit should create quite a log jam at the guard position for Detroit. They would likely find a way to deal either Richard Hamilton or Ben Gordon.

LA Clippers (2.3%) - landing Wall would be the perfect excuse to push Baron Davis out the door. I think they would start Wall at the 2 and bring Eric Gordon off the bench until they figure things out. Landing this pick would take away considerable cap space and take them out of the max free agent running, but they weren't really in it anyway, were they?

Utah Jazz (2.2%) - I think they actually draft Evan Turner because they already have Deron Williams at the point for the next decade and he needs help, not to be eventually replaced. I'm not sure the Jazz would undermine their stud PG like that. You can start Wall out of position at first, but eventually something has to give. Maybe they consider trade offers too.

Indiana Pacers (1.1%) - Their prayers would be answered and they would try even harder to rid themselves of TJ Ford (as if they aren't trying hard already).

New Orleans (0.8%) - Evan Turner makes a lot of sense for them. Otherwise they have major trading assets with Chris Paul, Darren Collison and John Wall at their disposal. Wow.

Memphis (0.7%) - With Mike Conley and OJ Mayo in place, I would have to think they would be open to dealing. However, the simple thing is to throw Wall into the mix and have three young guys that can play. I'm not convinced Conley is a bust, but he is not promising enough to not draft Wall.

Toronto (0.6%) - drafting Wall could be enough to get Bosh to consider coming back. This would shake Calderon free. Toronto has a gaping hole at SG, so Turner would be a nice pick too.

Houston (0.5%) - with Aaron Brooks and Kevin Martin already in their backcourt, it would be interesting to see what they would do. I would draft Wall anyway and hold onto Brooks and Martin in order to have a great trio of guards.

What scenarios are most concerning to you as a Heat fan? Do you even care?

Saturday, May 15, 2010

It All Starts With the Draft

As most of you know, the Miami Heat is set to enter the NBA draft on June 24th with four draft picks. One first rounder (#18) and three second rounders (#41, #42, #48) could be making their way onto the Miami Heat roster.

However, I expect the first round pick to be shopped alongside DaeQuan Cook (expiring RFA), James Jones (partial guarantee for three years) and possibly Michael Beasley in order to get a head start on the off-season makeover.

The first round pick only counts $1.2M against the cap, so it is quite possible that Riley will be making the pick for himself if the right guy falls to him. However, as I glance through the mock draft on hoopshype, I see a lot of guys that are said to be raw or projects in some way:

http://hoopshype.com/draft.htm

Admittedly, mock drafts aren't the best resource in the world and gems can be found, but Riley recently reminded us that he prefers to build through free agency and trades.

If James Jones is not traded before June 30th, he could be cut and cost $1.9M in 2010, $2M in 2011 and $2.1M in 2011. Everybody expects Miami to cut him loose, but you never know how much value three point shooting will have in the new look Miami Heat.

Trades for 2010 cap space can begin on July 1st, so trades before then will have to be within 25%. Only Orlando has a trade exception big enough to take on those salaries and they are not likely to want to help Miami become a dynastic team, so it will be interesting to see what takes place in anticipation of July 7th when free agents can begin to sign contracts.

Friday, May 14, 2010

Hey LeBron: Who Died and Made You King?

"Who died and made you ______" is a common put-down of a person who usually doesn't have that high position, but aspires to it. "Who died and made you boss?" is cited in print since at least 1940 and there have been many variations of this expression in circulation since the 1980s, coincidentally the same decade "King James" was born.

When LeBron entered the NBA draft as an 18 year old I was amongst those who was hoping the the number one pick would go to the Miami Heat so they could select this basketball prodigy who was going to dominate the league for the next 15 years. Carmelo Anthony was seen as the great consolation prize, and Darko Milicic and Chris Bosh were presumed just a notch below. Of course, Miami had the fifth pick in the draft and settle for an afterthought named Dwyane Wade.

It didn't take long for Dwyane Wade to get into the discussion about whether he, LeBron or Kobe Bryant was the best player in the league. A freak injury to Wade's shoulder the year after Wade had the most legendary NBA Finals performance in history derailed the argument and it has been all Kobe and LeBron for about four years now.

LeBron's crushing elimination at the hands of the Boston Celtics has sent shock waves throughout the land. Many will say all sorts of negative things about LeBron James, but I won't - after all, I want him to consider signing with the Heat. I am not concerning myself with whether it is a lack of killer instinct, a hurt elbow or if it was the supporting cast. The lesson learned is that there is no King in basketball. It remains a team game and no one player can win a title by himself. We are all witnesses.

As far as Mr. James's impending free agency, I say expect the unexpected. When everyone thought he would stay (except fans of teams with cap room), I thought he might leave. Now that everyone thinks he will go (except Cleveland fans), I think he stays - nobody tells a King how to run his life. My prediction: he commits to Cleveland and goes ringless for another three years.

As far as our BiW, I think he will do whatever is in his power to align himself with the best talent available and re-enter the discussion about who is really number one. Let's hope that opportunity is in Miami... I really think it will be.

Thursday, May 13, 2010

Going Back Into Asylum

  1. So I am on Ira's blog trying to have a good time when I come across this comment by kb. I want to point out that he said that Cleveland's cast is not that gay... here is what transpires next:
    Kbboy80

    I said it from day one, every team has their fallout boy. If the Cavs lose this will somehow all come back to Shaq “screwing up their team” without anybody mentioning this is pretty much the same team from last year that got whooped by the Magic. as far as the core goes. Delonted,MO,Big Z, Varajeo. All still here with an upgrade in talent. But it will all come back to Shaq, somehow he will get the blame even tho Clv is quick to turn away from him, bench him, and go with the core from last year in the closing quarters. Shaq has been quiet, hasnt cried, and is basically playing the role of “stiff” and just rebounding, defending and doing what is asked.

    Its all so hilarious to me how on PTI the other day, idiot Wilbon proclaims “Lebron’s cast isnt all that gay. Yea he got a guy like Jamison and Mo Will but, these guys dont play good together”. Oh really? So when ESPN slobbed them for all 60 something wins they werent playing well together or were not a good enough cast? Ridiculous.


  2. Sledge gets into it with me next calling me a fagget with mental retardation and childhood issues, to which I respond that I agree it is childish to call each other gay, but that he always responds by calling us faggets, which shows he can't even pick a side and stick with it... who is the retard? These comments are quickly erased from the board and then I take a few shots at Ira and soon after I get called to the principal's office:

    1. Jrod44

      FMB says:
      May 13, 2010 at 4:30 pm

    He’s a bust because our local beat writer has deemed him as such and goes around telling anyone who listens that he is a bust. Then his buddy writes a national story about how Haslem is better and the Heat have been keeping it a secret.

    ——————————————-

    I agree 1000000 PERCENT. All you ever hear is Ira coming out of peoples mouths, as it pertains to Beasley. Which okay I get, he is our most respected local Heat Beat Writer. But does that mean its correct? Who knows, especially when you have Coach, President, and Owner saying otherwise.

    • CyrusTheVirus

      OMG, our most nationally respected beat writer is Ira!

    • Sledge

      I don’t recall Ira saying that Beasley is a “bust”. Get it right. He has just written about Beasleys shortcomings and him not meeting the higher expectations most people had for a #2 pick these past 2 seasons. Even Wade has expressed the same sort of discouragement. Not to mention Pat Riley who has been approving Beasley’s limited minutes for 2 consecutive years as general manager. Beasley is not bust, where did Ira write that? At just 21 y/o, he may be a late bloomer on the wrong system, who knows. Time will tell. He could be the next Lamar Odom or the next Rasual Butler. We’ll see.

    • Jrod44

      Sledge can you really say that Ira has not been hypercritical of Beasley?

      20 and 10 from Beasley, Lets keep some perspective.

      5 and 5 from Beasley, Beasley looked lost.

      15 and 7 from Beasley following night, Beasley gave up more than he scored.

      The problem wasnt in reporting the bad, it was not reporting the good.

    • CyrusTheVirus

      Ira is anything but unbiased

    • Sledge

      We are all biased to some extent when evaluating players. i happen to agree with Ira most times about Beasley. His porous defense, being lost in the court, and the 10 Beasley Flaws that I’ve repeatedly posted here. I also agree that Haslem does other things on the court that Beasley just hasn’t learned yet or is incapable of. Beasley has been an inconsistent scorer, that’s all. No passing skills, treated like a rag doll in the paint, etc. etc. That’s why Wade complains, that’s why the Heat entire coaching staff headed by pat Riley has severely limited Beasley’s minutes for 2 seasons. They all agree with Ira too.

  3. Sledge, CyrusTheVirus, et al.

    Play nice, guys. Let’s try to keeps this forum civil, or at least not like the playground in grade school.

    Fair warning to all – any and all impersonators will be banned. Pick your username and stick to it.

    That is all.

    • Jrod44

      what if its funny and positive? or not crude at least?

    • CyrusTheVirus

      Why not ban trolls?

    • CyrusTheVirus

      Impersonator = comedy for those who want to talk Heat basketball and have to hear the repetitive opinions of somebody who just wants to get under the skin of Heat fans.

      Your protection of that blogger is a disgrace to your newspaper… get rid of the cancer or you will lose your following. Guaranteed.


      Soon after a new blog topic was started and Jrod kept the dialogue going:



      1. Dewey Cox

        But what if your famous? Can you still get banned?

        • Do Not Ban Jrod44

          Because to me thats funny, not trolling, I never say hateful or crude remarks, I just use it to accentuate my points.

          I know Chris T is a wise man, and will use his correct judgement.

        • Just trying to clean the place up a bit.

        • Sledge

          Excellent news.

        • CyrusTheVirus

          Get rid of Sledge, then


          What are your thoughts, comments, concerns. I don't necessarily want to be banned so I will respect the posted rules. However, now that I know we are being watched, can we actually get the trolls out? What needs to happen in order to clean out the trash?

What if Joe Johnson signs?

The season is not yet over and players are starting to make their pitch to the Miami Heat. First it was Raja Bell on a minimal deal and now it is Joe Johnson who is saying he is intrigued by the opportunity to build a winner in Miami.

Assuming the best free agent Miami could attract this off-season was Joe Johnson. How much would that improve the team? Who would be more likely to be asked to return and who would be given their walking papers?

How about the center who averages 17.5 ppg, 8.9 rpg, 1.8 bpg per 36? Jermaine O'Neal might be the best free agent center available.

Or the power forward who averages 17.8 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 1.1 spg, 0.7 bpg per 36? Michael Beasley wouldn't be so disgusted by his numbers if he got more minutes.

Or what about the power forward who averages 12.7 ppg, 9.5 rpg per 36? Udonis Haslem points pale in comparison, but his rebounding rate is the best of the bunch.

Or even the power forward/center who averages 5.9 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 3.1 bpg per 36? Joel Anthony would likely come back for under $1 million even if he decides to opt out as is being rumored.

I think you may only need to replace one of those guys with a more explosive option to make the front court more capable of matching up with and or creating match up problems for the opposition. We all know the top of the line options that will cost $15M+ (Boozer, Bosh, Stoudemire) but could there be a lower cost alternative that could be almost as intriguing?

How about a power forward who averages 15 ppg, 9.9 rpg, 1.9 spg, 2.5 bpg per 36? Tyrus Thomas is a restricted free agent for Charlotte and will likely cost in the $10-12M neighborhood. Is this a restricted free agent worth pursuing? By the numbers it is a no brainer, but does he have the brains? The last thing we need is to become a great regular season team that is too stupid to win when it matters... like Atlanta.

As coach Spoelstra famously said: "Got any ideas?"

Sunday, May 9, 2010

Thoughts on Summer of 2010 strategy

Let's take a look at our current 2010 roster without including Dwyane Wade, who will need to be recruited just like any of the other high profile 2010 free agents:

C - J. Anthony ($800k) - player option
PF - M. Beasley ($5M)
SF - J. Jones ($4.7M - $1.9M if bought out)
SG - D. Cook ($2.2M)
PG - M. Chalmers ($900k) - team option

Bench:
1st Round pick ($1.7M)
G- Kenny Hasbrouck ($500k?) not guaranteed
G - Pat Beverley ($5ook?) not guaranteed
F - Robert Dozier ($500k?) not guaranteed
2nd Round pick (500k?) not guaranteed
2nd Round pick ($500k?) not guaranteed
2nd Round pick ($500k?) not guaranteed

This is $15.3M invested into 6 players... if you exclude the second round picks and undrafted free agents on non-guaranteed deals. With the salary cap set at $56.1M, Miami will have $40.8M leftover to play with for free agency. Releasing Jones would clear up another $2.3M when you factor in the cap hold for his spot. That leaves enough money for two max free agents plus a player in the $5-7 million range depending on if Jones is released on June 30th or not.

Before that decision has to be made, the 2010 NBA Draft at Madison Square Garden will take place on June 24th. I expect that to be quite the trading market with Pat Riley holding over $10M in moveable contracts (Beasley, Jones, Cook) to go along with 4 2010 picks and multiple future first rounders including Toronto's lottery protected 1st rounder.

I'm sure most of you remember last years big draft day trade:

Cleveland gets:
Shaquille O'Neal (1 year, $21.7M)

Phoenix gets:
Ben Wallace (1 year, $14M - agreed to buyout)
Sasha Pavlovic (1 year, $4.5M - $1.5M guaranteed)
Cash and a 2nd round draft pick

Some of you will remember this post-draft trade, where the Grizzlies used their cap space to upgrade their roster via trade:

Clippers get:
Quentin Richardson (1 year, $8.7M)

Grizzlies get:
Zach Randolph (2 years, $33M)

Shaq's acquisition has helped Cleveland earn home court advantage through the playoffs, while Zach Randolph became an All-Star for Memphis. Both of those deals were one sided salary dumps, so with that in mind, I will present you some of the most prominent available talent that could be available in some sort of salary dump. Their remaining contract is an estimate based on the information provided by hoopsworld.com:

PG - Leandro Barbosa, PHO (2 years, $14.7M)
PG - Kirk Hinrich, CHI (2 years, $17M)
PG - Lou Williams, PHI (3 years, $17.8M)
PG - Jose Calderon, TOR (3 years, $29.3M)
PG - Baron Davis, LAC (3 year, $41M)
PG - Devin Harris, NJ (4 years, $34.2M)
PG - Gilbert Arenas, WAS (4years, $80M)
SF - Andre Igoudala, PHI (4 years, $56.5M)
SF - Hedo Turkoglu, TOR (4 years, $44M)
SF - James Posey, NO (2 years, $14.5M)
SF - Jason Richardson, PHO (1 year, $14.5M)
SF - Andres Nocioni, SAC (3 years, $20M)
SF - Andrei Kirilenko, UTA (1 year, $17.8M)
PF - Paul Millsap, UTA (4 years, $34.5M)
PF - Elton Brand, PHI (3 years, $51M)
C - Sam Dalembert, PHI (1 year, $12.2M)

Using James Jones in a trade clears his guarantees for the next three years for $1.9M, $2.0 and $2.1M. For another team, those figures (3 years, $6M) could be a lot easier to swallow than the contracts they are currently are on the hook for. Taking on some of those guys might also bring a lottery pick Miami's way (all of the players listed are from lottery teams, except the Suns - Utah has New York's).

I included talent from Phoenix and Utah because Riley spent the closing hours of the trade deadline discussing possible off-season moves and while we assume that the intention is to do a sign and trade for Boozer or Stoudemire, we don't really know what they were discussing. Maybe Miami is interested in Leandro Barbosa or Paul Millsap because of their reasonable contracts, or even Richardson or Kirilenko for their bloated expiring contracts (options I would not expect the team to explore until later in free agency, if at all). Most likely, this off-season is about landing two these five guys:

1. LeBron James - the BiW due to his age, size and durability advantage over D-Wade.
2. Dwyane Wade - the BiW until his age, size and durability actually become an issue.
3. Chris Bosh - Pau Gasol II ...the best PF/C that primetime has never seen.
4. Yao Ming - the BiW (biggest in the world). The biggest mismatch you'll ever find.
5. Amar'e Stoudemire - 2nd team All-NBA Center this season.

Is there anybody on that list of available players through trade that would improve our chances of making this happen? I don't think so, but I will be paying attention when the market intensifies again around the draft. Something big will happen this off-season, we just don't know what that will be or when the first domino will fall.

Wednesday, May 5, 2010

In Pat I Trust

Count me amongst the people who appreciates Pat Riley for better or worse. Like many Heat fans, I was disappointed and confused to see him step down after drafting Dwyane Wade and signing Lamar Odom for a team that already had the third best rookie from the previous season (Caron Butler) and two rock solid veterans. From that point forward, he has given two long time assistants a chance to make a name for themselves in this league... allowing them to coach one of the greatest players of all-time and in Stan Van Gundy's case, two of the greatest of all-time.

For this reason, I really get bent out of shape when people attack my man like that, calling him Pat the Rat and even worse. I was a Heat fan before Riley took over and Glen Rice was my favorite player, but when Riley took over as I believed he would take the team to the next level and he has, with seven division titles and one NBA championship on his Miami Heat resume as coach/GM/President/owner/head MFer in charge.

I can remember when it all went down in 1995 I was thirteen years old and I already had a very highly developed afinity for sports business. I would wake up half an hour early before going to school so I could read the sports page and my absolute favorite was the transactions log where you could see all the small moves that were going on in all sports all the way down to minor league call ups in MLB or practice squad players in the NFL.

Pat Riley coming to the Miami Heat as coach and president was front page news, even the tampering case was front page news (Miami settled with the New York Knicks by giving up a 1996 first round pick that would be used on Walter McCarty and $1 million dollars). What wasn't as highly publicized was that the deal also made him a part owner of the franchise. Even today I am having a hard time substantiating that piece of information, but I thought that giving Riley a stake in the team was the single best move this franchise had ever made and I think that argument could still be made today. When Pat Riley took over in Miami, the Chicago Bulls and the New York Knicks were the two biggest franchises the Eastern Conference had to offer. They were the teams that ended Riley's first five playoff runs, but have been unable to regain their rightful place amongst the game's elite, with Chicago failing to win 50 games since 1998 and the New York Knicks failing to win 40 games since 2001. Pat Riley's Miami tenure has not been all rainbows and butterflies, but it sure beats droughts like the Boston Celtics suffered between 50+ win seasons (1992-2007).

Miami currently stands at 4 straight seasons failing to reach that plateau. The first two were a direct result of a serious injury to the team's franchise player, Dwyane Wade, and the last two were the result of a rebuilding plan that focused on 2010 free agency. I am as bitter as the next guy about those four post-championship years, but Riley and his team will be relevant again next season.

Make no mistake, the Miami Heat is Pat Riley's team. Stan Van Gundy was given the keys to the car, but it was still Riley's car. Erik Spoelstra was given the keys to the car, but it was still Riley's car. Pat Riley's comments during his end of season press conference about doing "whatever is in the best interest of building the the team here. Period." was yet another reminder that he is calling the shots around here. If he determines that his return to the bench would return this franchise to greatness, he will do that, and that is good news, period.

PS - Pat Riley currently stands as the 3rd all-time winningest coach in NBA history, with Don Nelson 99 wins ahead and counting (slowly) and Lenny Wilkens 112 wins ahead. He now has Jerry Sloan, Larry Brown and Phil Jackson within two or three succesful seasons of eclipsing his career total as well. If Riley were to come back for a six year run on a fifty five win average, he would stand atop the mountain with 1540 career victories, shattering Lenny Wilkens' mark of 1332. I don't know about you guys, but I am behind Riley becoming the basketball Don (like Shula, the all-time winningest NFL coach, who also started his championship legacy elsewhere).

Saturday, April 24, 2010

SOS

This is why I said forget upsetting the basketball gods... we will have a hard time upsetting the Boston Celtics. We were 0-3 against them in the regular season, but could have easily have won the series 2-1 with a few extra clutch plays. The same can be said about this playoff series. Which is exactly why our coach should have been more worried about what he sees when he studies tape than some mythical gods that would frown upon playing the percentages.

Still, I gave this team a pretty good chance of taking this series, but knew Boston would have to cooperate. So far they haven't. I also predicted we would have to win two games in Boston to pull it off and that is exactly how many we will have to take.

The odds are incredibly stacked and I do not think it is a feat that has ever been accomplished at this level, but call me a gambler, because I can see a game 4 victory followed by a game 5 upset to make this thing interesting. Miami has to stretch this series out to feel good about themselves. In all likelihood this season is over, but Michael Beasley and Dorell Wright showed enough promise to believe the team can avoid the misery of a sweep. Miami can get back into the series, but it obviously has to start on Sunday before we can even start to dream about a road upset. One game at a time.

If JO fails to make an impact on Sunday and we get swept, he deserves to be jeered. If he matches his pedestrian season averages, we could be up 2-1. Nobody expected him to live up to his contract, but this is beyond ridiculous. He is easily the biggest playoff choker in Heat history, which says a lot.



Thursday, April 22, 2010

Wade County?

Boston is serving up memories of the 2006 NBA Finals. We will only win if Wade turns back the clock and takes over. Who here believes in miracles? Game 3, here we come. Season.